Stocks Show True Colors

March 2, 2008

12:10pm EST  Heavy Institutional selling floods Wall Street all but killing the most recent rally attempt.

Friday Wall Street witnessed real institutional selling as fears about the economy continue to weigh on the minds of investors.  The action on Friday came no surprise to me as we have had very suspect leadership.  Prior leaders like MSFT, AAPL, INTC, and GOOG had been leading this most recent rally attempt.  Taking a look at these stocks there is no question this rally was shaky at best.  As I wrote in this post to beware of Bear Market rallies as they tend to suck in the “bottom fisher’s.”  This market has a long term downtrend, beware of fighting against such a strong trend.

The best position right now is to be in cash and not to be the one calling the bottom in AAPL or GOOG.  The uphill climb these two have to make you are better off running to the slots and plunking your cash down there.  It is really tempting to be the “one” to pick bottoms but it proves far too difficult for 99% of traders who try.

Where is the bull market?  Its not hard to guess where that is if you haven’t been stuck under a rock.  Commodities continue to see unprecedented growth due to many factors including:  excess liquidity, ethanol production, and speculation.  I do not see any of these factors not continuing in the near future.  The FOMC will again cut rates in March, ethanol production will continue, and speculation will only grow as the first two factors continue.

Be cash cash heavy!

Market Speculator

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